Sparta Praha vs Slovácko Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.46
xG Away 0.67
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Praha an expected 2.5 goals and Slovácko an expected 0.7 goals. Sparta Praha have a 77% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Slovácko at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 13.2%
3:0 10.8%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 8.9%
3:1 7.3%
1:1 7.2%
4:0 6.7%
4:1 4.5%
0:0 4.3%
2:2 3%
0:1 2.9%
3:2 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sparta Praha Win
Probability 77%
Predicted Odds 1.3
Market Odds 1.38

Team Comparison

Sparta Praha Slovácko
2 League Position 15
63 Points 23
63% Win % 17%
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Sparta Praha at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Slovácko Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Sparta Praha
W W W
Slovácko
L L L