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Southampton vs QPR — Prediction

Southampton Southampton
2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
QPR QPR

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Southampton
  • West Ham 2–3 Southampton
  • Wrexham 2–1 Southampton
  • Southampton 4–1 Bristol City
  • Southampton 3–1 Swansea
  • Lincoln 1–1 Southampton
QPR
  • QPR 5–0 Swansea
  • QPR 2–2 Preston
  • West Brom 1–1 QPR
  • Charlton 0–0 QPR
  • QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Southampton 46 · QPR 46. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Southampton 55% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 64%
Home Win 1.56
X 19%
Draw 5.35
2 17%
Away Win 5.79
Model goal expectation · 1 2.35
Model goal expectation · 2 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
BTTS 62%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Southampton 2.35 · QPR 1.15.
1 64% · X 19% · 2 17%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.6%
2:0 8.4%
1:1 8.2%
3:1 7.5%
1:0 7.1%
3:0 6.5%
2:2 5.5%
1:2 4.7%
4:1 4.4%
3:2 4.3%
4:0 3.8%
0:1 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Southampton Win
Probability 64%
Predicted Odds 1.56

Team Comparison

Southampton QPR
4 League Position 15
80 Points 58
48% Win % 35%
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59

Venue Form

Southampton at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
QPR Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Southampton
W L W W D
QPR
W D D D L

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