1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.28
xG Away
1.66
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
BTTS
73%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sirius an expected 2.3 goals and IF Elfsborg an expected 1.7 goals. Sirius have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and IF Elfsborg at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.4%
1:1
7.4%
2:2
7%
3:1
6.4%
1:2
6.1%
3:2
5.3%
2:0
5.1%
1:0
4.4%
2:3
3.9%
3:0
3.8%
4:1
3.6%
1:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sirius Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Sirius | IF Elfsborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 8 |
| 39 | Points | 40 |
| 37% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
Sirius at Home
W4
D1
L0
(5 games)
IF Elfsborg Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sirius
W
D
W
W
W
IF Elfsborg
W
L
L
L
