1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GAIS an expected 1.3 goals and IFK Göteborg an expected 0.9 goals. GAIS have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and IFK Göteborg at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.7%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.7%
0:1
10.4%
2:0
9.2%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
5.8%
0:2
4.6%
3:0
3.8%
2:2
3.6%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GAIS Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| GAIS | IFK Göteborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 52 | Points | 51 |
| 47% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
GAIS at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
IFK Göteborg Away
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Recent Form
GAIS
D
W
W
W
D
IFK Göteborg
W
W
L
W
L
