1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sirius an expected 1.5 goals and AIK Stockholm an expected 1.5 goals. Sirius have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and AIK Stockholm at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.4%
1:0
7.7%
0:1
7.7%
2:2
6.2%
2:0
5.7%
0:2
5.7%
0:0
5.2%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
4.1%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sirius Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Sirius | AIK Stockholm | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 7 |
| 39 | Points | 48 |
| 37% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Sirius at Home
W4
D1
L0
(5 games)
AIK Stockholm Away
W2
D3
L2
(7 games)
Recent Form
Sirius
W
D
W
W
W
AIK Stockholm
L
D
D
W
W
