1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.78
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mjällby AIF an expected 1.4 goals and Hammarby FF an expected 0.8 goals. Mjällby AIF have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Hammarby FF at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.8%
1:1
12.4%
0:0
11.4%
2:0
11%
0:1
8.9%
2:1
8.6%
3:0
5.1%
1:2
4.8%
3:1
4%
0:2
3.5%
2:2
3.4%
4:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mjällby AIF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Mjällby AIF | Hammarby FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 75 | Points | 62 |
| 77% | Win % | 63% |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
Venue Form
Mjällby AIF at Home
W3
D1
L3
(7 games)
Hammarby FF Away
W3
D2
L1
(6 games)
Recent Form
Mjällby AIF
L
L
D
L
W
Hammarby FF
W
D
W
L
W
