1
31%
Home Win
3.2
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
41%
Away Win
2.44
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.1 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.3 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
12.1%
1:0
10.2%
0:0
9.5%
1:2
8.3%
0:2
7.7%
2:1
7%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
4.5%
1:3
3.5%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chongqing Tongliang Long Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 2 |
| 20 | Points | 29 |
| 30% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Sichuan Jiuniu at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
W
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
