1
37%
Home Win
2.73
X
29%
Draw
3.44
2
34%
Away Win
2.92
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.1 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.1 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.4%
0:1
11.9%
0:0
11.1%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
7.2%
2:0
7%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
4.1%
3:1
2.8%
3:0
2.6%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chongqing Tongliang Long Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 9 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 31% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Sichuan Jiuniu at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
W
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Head to Head
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2 : 0
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
