1
38%
Home Win
2.62
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
39%
Away Win
2.6
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.62
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shenyang Urban an expected 1.6 goals and Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.6 goals. Shenyang Urban have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Wuhan Three Towns at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8.3%
2:2
6.7%
0:1
6.4%
1:0
6.3%
0:2
5.2%
2:0
5.1%
1:3
4.5%
3:1
4.5%
0:0
3.9%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wuhan Three Towns Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Shenyang Urban | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 15 |
| 25 | Points | 21 |
| 27% | Win % | 19% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
Venue Form
Shenyang Urban at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Wuhan Three Towns Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Shenyang Urban
W
L
Wuhan Three Towns
L
L
L