1
41%
Home Win
2.41
X
26%
Draw
3.9
2
33%
Away Win
3.03
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sheffield United an expected 1.4 goals and Birmingham an expected 1.3 goals. Sheffield United have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Birmingham at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8.4%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
7%
0:0
6.6%
2:2
5.6%
0:2
5.3%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
3.4%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sheffield United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Sheffield United | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 10 |
| 60 | Points | 64 |
| 39% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Sheffield United at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Birmingham Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sheffield United
L
L
Birmingham
D
D
