1
57%
Home Win
1.74
X
20%
Draw
4.94
2
22%
Away Win
4.47
xG Home
2.20
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 2.2 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.3 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.5%
1:1
8.6%
2:0
7.2%
3:1
6.9%
1:0
6.5%
2:2
6.2%
1:2
5.7%
3:0
5.3%
3:2
4.6%
0:1
3.9%
4:1
3.8%
0:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 36 | Points | 27 |
| 52% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
L
L
