1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.37
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 2.4 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.3 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
1:1
7.9%
3:1
7.4%
2:0
7.3%
1:0
6.1%
2:2
6%
3:0
5.8%
1:2
5%
3:2
4.7%
4:1
4.4%
4:0
3.4%
0:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 11 |
| 44 | Points | 32 |
| 52% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Shandong Taishan at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D1
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
Shandong Taishan
W
D
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
D
L
L
L
