1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 2.0 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.2 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Henan FC at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.9%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
7.9%
2:0
7.8%
3:1
6.3%
1:2
6.2%
2:2
6.1%
0:1
5.1%
3:0
5%
0:0
4.1%
3:2
3.9%
0:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 14 |
| 44 | Points | 28 |
| 52% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Shandong Taishan at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Henan FC Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Shandong Taishan
W
D
Henan FC
D
L
