1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
24%
Draw
4.17
2
29%
Away Win
3.46
xG Home
1.68
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 1.7 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.3 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Henan FC at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.8%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7.1%
0:1
6.7%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.3%
3:1
5.2%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 50% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
Venue Form
Shandong Taishan at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Henan FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Shandong Taishan
D
Henan FC
L