1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
32%
Away Win
3.12
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 1.7 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.4 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Henan FC at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.1%
1:0
7.9%
1:2
7.6%
0:1
6.6%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
6.3%
3:1
5%
0:0
4.7%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 24 | Points | 18 |
| 47% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Henan FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
L
