1
29%
Home Win
3.49
X
23%
Draw
4.43
2
49%
Away Win
2.05
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.86
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Freiburg an expected 1.4 goals and RB Leipzig an expected 1.9 goals. SC Freiburg have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and RB Leipzig at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
1:2
9.3%
0:1
7.2%
2:1
6.9%
0:2
6.7%
2:2
6.5%
1:3
5.8%
1:0
5.4%
0:3
4.2%
2:3
4%
0:0
3.9%
2:0
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Leipzig Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 3 |
| 47 | Points | 65 |
| 38% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
SC Freiburg at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
RB Leipzig Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
SC Freiburg
D
W
RB Leipzig
L
L
W
L
