1
46%
Home Win
2.17
X
25%
Draw
3.99
2
29%
Away Win
3.46
xG Home
1.56
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SC Freiburg an expected 1.6 goals and Borussia Mönchengladbach an expected 1.2 goals. SC Freiburg have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
10%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
7.8%
0:1
7.6%
1:2
7%
0:0
6.4%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
4.8%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Freiburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| SC Freiburg | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 12 |
| 47 | Points | 38 |
| 38% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
SC Freiburg at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Borussia Mönchengladbach Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
SC Freiburg
D
W
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
D
L
