Sassuolo vs Juventus Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 · Serie A
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.96
xG Away 1.61
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sassuolo an expected 1.0 goals and Juventus an expected 1.6 goals. Sassuolo have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Juventus at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.3%
1:1 11.8%
0:2 9.9%
1:2 9.5%
0:0 7.6%
1:0 7.3%
2:1 5.7%
0:3 5.3%
1:3 5.1%
2:2 4.6%
2:0 3.5%
2:3 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Juventus Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Sassuolo Juventus
11 League Position 6
49 Points 69
37% Win % 50%
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89

Venue Form

Sassuolo at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Juventus Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Sassuolo
W W
Juventus
W L W D