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São Paulo FC vs Corinthians — Prediction

São Paulo FC São Paulo FC
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Thu, 05 Nov 2026 · Brasileirão
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Corinthians Corinthians

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
5 Nov 2026, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

São Paulo FC
  • Bahia 3–2 São Paulo FC
  • Mirassol 1–1 São Paulo FC
  • São Paulo FC 1–0 Internacional
  • Palmeiras 2–0 São Paulo FC
  • São Paulo FC 2–0 Atletico-MG
Corinthians
  • Corinthians 0–0 Mirassol
  • Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Corinthians
  • Corinthians 1–1 Vitoria
  • Corinthians 0–1 Fluminense
  • Corinthians 0–1 Estudiantes de La Plata
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: São Paulo FC 38 · Corinthians 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: São Paulo FC 42% · 2026-11-04 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.20
Model goal expectation · 2 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 44%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: São Paulo FC 1.20 · Corinthians 1.00.
1 40% · X 29% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
1:0 13.3%
0:1 11.1%
0:0 11.1%
2:1 8%
2:0 7.9%
1:2 6.7%
0:2 5.6%
2:2 4%
3:1 3.2%
3:0 3.2%
1:3 2.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome São Paulo FC Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5

Team Comparison

São Paulo FC Corinthians
8 League Position 13
51 Points 47
37% Win % 32%
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

São Paulo FC at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Corinthians Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
L D W L W
Corinthians
D L D L L

Head to Head

10 May 2026 brasileirao
Corinthians 3 : 2 São Paulo FC
L

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