1
13%
Home Win
7.91
X
20%
Draw
4.93
2
67%
Away Win
1.49
xG Home
0.72
xG Away
1.98
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos an expected 0.7 goals and Flamengo an expected 2.0 goals. Santos have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Flamengo at 67%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
0:2
13.2%
1:1
9.6%
1:2
9.5%
0:3
8.7%
0:0
6.7%
1:3
6.3%
1:0
4.8%
0:4
4.3%
2:1
3.4%
2:2
3.4%
1:4
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Santos | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 1 |
| 47 | Points | 79 |
| 32% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Santos at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Flamengo Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Santos
D
W
L
Flamengo
D
W
W
