1
37%
Home Win
2.74
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
36%
Away Win
2.77
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Internacional an expected 1.2 goals and Corinthians an expected 1.2 goals. Internacional have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Corinthians at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
10.7%
0:1
10.6%
0:0
8.7%
2:1
7.9%
1:2
7.9%
2:0
6.5%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
3.2%
1:3
3.2%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Internacional Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Internacional | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 13 |
| 44 | Points | 47 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Internacional at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Corinthians Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Internacional
D
W
L
W
Corinthians
L
D
