1
60%
Home Win
1.66
X
21%
Draw
4.81
2
19%
Away Win
5.32
xG Home
2.06
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Botafogo an expected 2.1 goals and Vasco DA Gama an expected 1.1 goals. Botafogo have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Vasco DA Gama at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.6%
2:0
9.3%
1:0
9.1%
3:1
6.8%
3:0
6.4%
2:2
5.3%
1:2
5.1%
0:1
4.7%
0:0
4.4%
3:2
3.6%
4:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Botafogo | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 14 |
| 63 | Points | 45 |
| 45% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Botafogo at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Vasco DA Gama Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Botafogo
L
D
Vasco DA Gama
D
L
