1
21%
Home Win
4.68
X
23%
Draw
4.37
2
56%
Away Win
1.79
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.82
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Bragantino an expected 1.0 goals and Mirassol an expected 1.8 goals. RB Bragantino have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Mirassol at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
0:1
10.4%
1:2
9.9%
0:2
9.5%
1:3
6%
1:0
5.9%
0:3
5.8%
0:0
5.7%
2:1
5.6%
2:2
5.1%
2:3
3.1%
2:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mirassol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| RB Bragantino | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 4 |
| 48 | Points | 67 |
| 37% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
RB Bragantino at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Mirassol Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
RB Bragantino
W
L
W
Mirassol
L
W
