1
9%
Home Win
11.3
X
13%
Draw
7.62
2
78%
Away Win
1.29
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
2.93
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos Laguna an expected 0.9 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 2.9 goals. Santos Laguna have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 78%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
9.1%
0:3
8.9%
1:2
8.4%
1:3
8.2%
0:4
6.5%
0:1
6.2%
1:4
6%
1:1
5.7%
2:2
3.9%
2:3
3.8%
2:4
2.8%
2:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 78% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.28 |
| Market Odds | 1.36 |
Team Comparison
| Santos Laguna | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 2 |
| 12 | Points | 36 |
| 18% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Santos Laguna at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Santos Laguna
W
L
Guadalajara Chivas
D
L
D
