1
29%
Home Win
3.41
X
20%
Draw
5.04
2
51%
Away Win
1.97
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
2.31
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
BTTS
74%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos Laguna an expected 1.7 goals and FC Juarez an expected 2.3 goals. Santos Laguna have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and FC Juarez at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.1%
2:2
7%
1:1
7%
1:3
6.2%
2:1
6.1%
2:3
5.4%
0:2
4.6%
3:2
4.1%
0:1
4%
1:4
3.6%
0:3
3.6%
3:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Juarez Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Santos Laguna | FC Juarez | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 12 |
| 12 | Points | 19 |
| 18% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Santos Laguna at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
FC Juarez Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Santos Laguna
W
L
FC Juarez
L
L
L
