1
32%
Home Win
3.08
X
28%
Draw
3.57
2
40%
Away Win
2.53
xG Home
1.10
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rubin an expected 1.1 goals and Dinamo Moscow an expected 1.2 goals. Rubin have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Dinamo Moscow at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
12%
1:0
10.6%
0:0
9.7%
1:2
8.2%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
7.2%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
4.5%
1:3
3.4%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dinamo Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Rubin | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 7 |
| 43 | Points | 45 |
| 37% | Win % | 40% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Venue Form
Rubin at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Rubin
D