1
37%
Home Win
2.69
X
30%
Draw
3.31
2
33%
Away Win
3.07
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Krasnodar an expected 1.1 goals and Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 1.0 goals. Krasnodar have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Zenit Saint Petersburg at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
1:1
13.5%
0:0
12.7%
0:1
12.5%
2:0
7.4%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
6.7%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
3.6%
3:0
2.6%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Krasnodar | Zenit Saint Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 66 | Points | 68 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.63 |
Venue Form
Krasnodar at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Zenit Saint Petersburg Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Krasnodar
D
W
Zenit Saint Petersburg
W
W
