Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · Russian Premier League
1 26%
Home Win 3.86
X 22%
Draw 4.48
2 52%
Away Win 1.93
xG Home 1.29
xG Away 1.91
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 62%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Krylya Sovetov an expected 1.3 goals and Spartak Moscow an expected 1.9 goals. Krylya Sovetov have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Spartak Moscow at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.1%
1:2 9.6%
0:1 7.8%
0:2 7.4%
2:1 6.5%
2:2 6.2%
1:3 6.1%
1:0 5.3%
0:3 4.7%
0:0 4.1%
2:3 3.9%
2:0 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Spartak Moscow Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92
Market Odds 2.05

Team Comparison

Krylya Sovetov Spartak Moscow
11 League Position 4
32 Points 52
27% Win % 50%
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

Krylya Sovetov at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Spartak Moscow Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Krylya Sovetov
W D
Spartak Moscow
L W