1
26%
Home Win
3.86
X
22%
Draw
4.48
2
52%
Away Win
1.93
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.91
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Krylya Sovetov an expected 1.3 goals and Spartak Moscow an expected 1.9 goals. Krylya Sovetov have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Spartak Moscow at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
1:2
9.6%
0:1
7.8%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
6.5%
2:2
6.2%
1:3
6.1%
1:0
5.3%
0:3
4.7%
0:0
4.1%
2:3
3.9%
2:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spartak Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Krylya Sovetov | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 32 | Points | 52 |
| 27% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
Krylya Sovetov at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Spartak Moscow Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Krylya Sovetov
W
D
Spartak Moscow
L
W