1
43%
Home Win
2.34
X
33%
Draw
2.99
2
24%
Away Win
4.18
xG Home
1.01
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orenburg an expected 1.0 goals and Makhachkala an expected 0.7 goals. Orenburg have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Makhachkala at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.7%
0:0
18.4%
1:1
12.7%
0:1
12.5%
2:0
9.5%
2:1
6.4%
1:2
4.3%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
3.2%
2:2
2.2%
3:1
2.2%
1:3
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orenburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Orenburg | Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 14 |
| 29 | Points | 26 |
| 23% | Win % | 17% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.63 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Orenburg at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Makhachkala Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Orenburg
D
L
Makhachkala
L
