1
40%
Home Win
2.49
X
31%
Draw
3.19
2
29%
Away Win
3.51
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rubin an expected 1.1 goals and Akhmat Grozny an expected 0.9 goals. Rubin have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Akhmat Grozny at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.7%
0:0
14.6%
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.5%
2:0
8.4%
2:1
7.1%
1:2
5.7%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
3%
3:0
3%
3:1
2.5%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rubin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Rubin | Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 43 | Points | 37 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
