1
83%
Home Win
1.2
X
12%
Draw
8.14
2
4%
Away Win
22.88
xG Home
2.56
xG Away
0.43
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Madrid an expected 2.6 goals and Oviedo an expected 0.4 goals. Real Madrid have a 83% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Oviedo at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
16.4%
3:0
14%
1:0
12.8%
4:0
9%
2:1
7.1%
3:1
6.1%
1:1
5.5%
0:0
5%
4:1
3.9%
0:1
2.2%
2:2
1.5%
3:2
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 83% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.2 |
| Market Odds | 1.28 |
Team Comparison
| Real Madrid | Oviedo | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 20 |
| 86 | Points | 29 |
| 71% | Win % | 16% |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.68 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Real Madrid at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Oviedo Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
W
Oviedo
L
L
Head to Head
Oviedo
0 : 3
Real Madrid
W
