1
76%
Home Win
1.32
X
15%
Draw
6.53
2
9%
Away Win
11.47
xG Home
2.48
xG Away
0.72
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Madrid an expected 2.5 goals and Athletic Club an expected 0.7 goals. Real Madrid have a 76% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Athletic Club at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.6%
3:0
10.4%
1:0
10.2%
2:1
9%
3:1
7.4%
1:1
7.3%
4:0
6.4%
4:1
4.6%
0:0
4.1%
2:2
3.2%
0:1
2.9%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Real Madrid | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 12 |
| 86 | Points | 45 |
| 71% | Win % | 34% |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Real Madrid at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Athletic Club Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
W
Athletic Club
L
W
L
Head to Head
Athletic Club
0 : 3
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Athletic Club
L
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Real Madrid
L
