1
63%
Home Win
1.58
X
20%
Draw
4.9
2
16%
Away Win
6.19
xG Home
2.06
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Leipzig an expected 2.1 goals and Hamburger SV an expected 0.9 goals. RB Leipzig have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Hamburger SV at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.7%
1:0
10.4%
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.6%
3:0
7.3%
3:1
6.8%
0:0
5%
0:1
4.7%
2:2
4.6%
1:2
4.5%
4:0
3.8%
4:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Leipzig Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 13 |
| 65 | Points | 38 |
| 59% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
RB Leipzig at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Hamburger SV Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
RB Leipzig
W
W
W
Hamburger SV
W
L
