1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 1.8 goals and Bayer Leverkusen an expected 1.8 goals. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Bayer Leverkusen at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.2%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
8%
2:2
7.1%
1:0
5.2%
0:1
5.2%
3:1
4.8%
1:3
4.7%
2:0
4.6%
0:2
4.6%
3:2
4.2%
2:3
4.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | 1899 Hoffenheim Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 61 | Points | 59 |
| 53% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
1899 Hoffenheim at Home
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Bayer Leverkusen Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
1899 Hoffenheim
W
L
W
D
W
Bayer Leverkusen
D
L
W
D