1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.76
xG Away 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
BTTS 68%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 1.8 goals and Bayer Leverkusen an expected 1.8 goals. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Bayer Leverkusen at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.2%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 8%
2:2 7.1%
1:0 5.2%
0:1 5.2%
3:1 4.8%
1:3 4.7%
2:0 4.6%
0:2 4.6%
3:2 4.2%
2:3 4.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick 1899 Hoffenheim Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

1899 Hoffenheim Bayer Leverkusen
5 League Position 6
61 Points 59
53% Win % 50%
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38

Venue Form

1899 Hoffenheim at Home
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate
Bayer Leverkusen Away
W1 D2 L1 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

1899 Hoffenheim
W L W D W
Bayer Leverkusen
D L W D