1
74%
Home Win
1.36
X
17%
Draw
5.95
2
9%
Away Win
10.71
xG Home
2.29
xG Away
0.67
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Leipzig an expected 2.3 goals and FC St. Pauli an expected 0.7 goals. RB Leipzig have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and FC St. Pauli at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.5%
1:0
11.8%
3:0
10.3%
2:1
9.1%
1:1
8%
3:1
7%
4:0
5.9%
0:0
5.2%
4:1
4%
0:1
3.5%
2:2
3.1%
1:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Leipzig Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| RB Leipzig | FC St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 18 |
| 65 | Points | 26 |
| 59% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
RB Leipzig at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
FC St. Pauli Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
RB Leipzig
W
W
W
FC St. Pauli
L
L
