1
47%
Home Win
2.15
X
29%
Draw
3.42
2
24%
Away Win
4.13
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
0.82
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rayo Vallecano an expected 1.3 goals and Girona an expected 0.8 goals. Rayo Vallecano have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Girona at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.8%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
12.6%
0:1
10.3%
2:0
9.9%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
5.3%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
4.1%
3:1
3.4%
2:2
3.3%
1:3
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rayo Vallecano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Rayo Vallecano | Girona | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 19 |
| 50 | Points | 41 |
| 32% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Rayo Vallecano at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Girona Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
W
D
D
W
Girona
D
L
