Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 49%
Home Win 2.04
X 28%
Draw 3.52
2 22%
Away Win 4.45
xG Home 1.32
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
BTTS 40%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.3 goals and Wisla Plock an expected 0.8 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Wisla Plock at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.9%
1:1 12.7%
0:0 12%
2:0 10.5%
0:1 9.6%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 5%
3:0 4.6%
0:2 3.8%
3:1 3.7%
2:2 3.3%
4:0 1.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Wisla Plock Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Raków Częstochowa Wisla Plock
4 League Position 8
55 Points 46
47% Win % 35%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2 D0 L3 (5 games)
40% win rate
Wisla Plock Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Raków Częstochowa
L L W W L
Wisla Plock
W L W

Head to Head

01 Feb 2026 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock 2 : 1 Raków Częstochowa
L
27 Jul 2025 Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa 1 : 2 Wisla Plock
W
21 May 2023 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock 1 : 2 Raków Częstochowa
W