1
48%
Home Win
2.11
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
25%
Away Win
3.96
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.4 goals and Korona Kielce an expected 0.9 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Korona Kielce at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.7%
2:0
9.4%
0:1
9.1%
2:1
8.8%
1:2
5.9%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
2:2
4.1%
3:1
4.1%
3:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Raków Częstochowa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Raków Częstochowa | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 11 |
| 55 | Points | 43 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Korona Kielce Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Raków Częstochowa
L
L
W
W
L
Korona Kielce
L
L
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 0
Korona Kielce
D
Korona Kielce
1 : 4
Raków Częstochowa
W
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Raków Częstochowa
D