Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 08 May 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 48%
Home Win 2.11
X 27%
Draw 3.67
2 25%
Away Win 3.96
xG Home 1.39
xG Away 0.94
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 46%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.4 goals and Korona Kielce an expected 0.9 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Korona Kielce at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.6%
1:1 12.7%
0:0 9.7%
2:0 9.4%
0:1 9.1%
2:1 8.8%
1:2 5.9%
3:0 4.4%
0:2 4.3%
2:2 4.1%
3:1 4.1%
3:2 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Raków Częstochowa Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Raków Częstochowa Korona Kielce
4 League Position 11
55 Points 43
47% Win % 32%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2 D0 L3 (5 games)
40% win rate
Korona Kielce Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Raków Częstochowa
L L W W L
Korona Kielce
L L

Head to Head

08 May 2026 Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa 0 : 0 Korona Kielce
D
09 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce 1 : 4 Raków Częstochowa
W
17 May 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce 1 : 1 Raków Częstochowa
D