1
40%
Home Win
2.51
X
26%
Draw
3.91
2
35%
Away Win
2.89
xG Home
1.43
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.4 goals and Jagiellonia an expected 1.3 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Jagiellonia at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
9.2%
2:1
8.6%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
7.9%
2:0
6.6%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.7%
0:2
5.6%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Raków Częstochowa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Raków Częstochowa | Jagiellonia | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 55 | Points | 56 |
| 47% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Jagiellonia Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Raków Częstochowa
L
L
W
W
L
Jagiellonia
W
W
