1
40%
Home Win
2.49
X
27%
Draw
3.71
2
33%
Away Win
3.04
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.3 goals and Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.2 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Gornik Zabrze at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
10.9%
0:1
9.7%
2:1
8.5%
0:0
8.2%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
7.2%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
5%
3:1
3.7%
3:0
3.2%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Raków Częstochowa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Raków Częstochowa | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 55 | Points | 56 |
| 47% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Gornik Zabrze Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Raków Częstochowa
L
L
W
W
L
Gornik Zabrze
D
W
