1
32%
Home Win
3.09
X
22%
Draw
4.56
2
46%
Away Win
2.19
xG Home
1.60
xG Away
1.92
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Radomiak Radom an expected 1.6 goals and Lech Poznan an expected 1.9 goals. Radomiak Radom have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Lech Poznan at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.1%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
7.3%
2:2
7%
0:1
5.7%
1:3
5.6%
0:2
5.5%
1:0
4.7%
2:3
4.5%
3:1
3.9%
2:0
3.8%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Radomiak Radom | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 1 |
| 44 | Points | 60 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Radomiak Radom at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Lech Poznan Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Radomiak Radom
W
W
W
Lech Poznan
W
W
W
