1
23%
Home Win
4.39
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
50%
Away Win
2.02
xG Home
0.84
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Querétaro an expected 0.8 goals and Tigres UANL an expected 1.4 goals. Querétaro have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Tigres UANL at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.1%
1:1
12.6%
0:0
11%
0:2
10.4%
1:0
9.2%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
5.3%
0:3
4.8%
1:3
4%
2:0
3.8%
2:2
3.6%
2:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigres UANL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Querétaro | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 7 |
| 20 | Points | 25 |
| 24% | Win % | 41% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Querétaro at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Tigres UANL Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Querétaro
L
D
Tigres UANL
L
D
D
L
