1
36%
Home Win
2.76
X
29%
Draw
3.43
2
35%
Away Win
2.89
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Querétaro an expected 1.1 goals and Monterrey an expected 1.1 goals. Querétaro have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Monterrey at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.4%
0:1
12%
0:0
11.1%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
7.2%
2:0
6.9%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
4%
3:1
2.8%
1:3
2.6%
3:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Querétaro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Querétaro | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 13 |
| 20 | Points | 18 |
| 24% | Win % | 29% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Querétaro at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Monterrey Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Querétaro
L
D
Monterrey
L
