1
46%
Home Win
2.15
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
28%
Away Win
3.63
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Querétaro an expected 1.5 goals and León FC an expected 1.1 goals. Querétaro have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and León FC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
11.4%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.5%
0:1
8.3%
0:0
7.7%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
4.9%
3:1
4.5%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Querétaro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Querétaro | León FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 20 | Points | 22 |
| 24% | Win % | 41% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Querétaro at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
León FC Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Querétaro
L
D
León FC
L
L
L
