1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives QPR an expected 1.4 goals and Swansea an expected 1.4 goals. QPR have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Swansea at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
8.5%
0:1
8.4%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.3%
0:0
6%
2:0
6%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
5.9%
3:1
3.9%
1:3
3.9%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | QPR Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| QPR | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 11 |
| 58 | Points | 64 |
| 35% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
QPR at Home
W1
D1
L4
(6 games)
Swansea Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
QPR
W
D
L
L
L
Swansea
L
W
L
D
W
