Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.91
xG Away 1.36
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Youth Island an expected 0.9 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.4 goals. Qingdao Youth Island have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 14%
1:1 12.8%
0:0 10.3%
0:2 9.5%
1:0 9.4%
1:2 8.7%
2:1 5.9%
2:0 4.3%
0:3 4.3%
2:2 4%
1:3 3.9%
2:3 1.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Chengdu Rongcheng Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Qingdao Youth Island Chengdu Rongcheng
7 League Position 1
39 Points 52
28% Win % 52%
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

Qingdao Youth Island at Home
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Qingdao Youth Island
D D W W D
Chengdu Rongcheng
D D D W W

Head to Head

03 Apr 2026 Super League
Chengdu Better City 5 : 1 Qingdao Youth Island
L
26 Oct 2025 Super League
Qingdao Youth Island 2 : 2 Chengdu Better City
D
17 May 2025 Super League
Chengdu Better City 1 : 1 Qingdao Youth Island
D