Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 · Super League
1 25%
Home Win 3.99
X 27%
Draw 3.75
2 48%
Away Win 2.07
xG Home 0.96
xG Away 1.44
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Youth Island an expected 1.0 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.4 goals. Qingdao Youth Island have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.1%
1:1 12.5%
0:2 9.4%
0:0 9%
1:2 9%
1:0 8.7%
2:1 6%
0:3 4.5%
1:3 4.3%
2:2 4.3%
2:0 4.2%
2:3 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Chengdu Rongcheng Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Qingdao Youth Island Chengdu Rongcheng
5 League Position 1
38 Points 52
31% Win % 58%
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15

Venue Form

Qingdao Youth Island at Home
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Qingdao Youth Island
D W W D
Chengdu Rongcheng
D D D W W

Head to Head

03 Apr 2026 Super League
Chengdu Better City 5 : 1 Qingdao Youth Island
L
26 Oct 2025 Super League
Qingdao Youth Island 2 : 2 Chengdu Better City
D
17 May 2025 Super League
Chengdu Better City 1 : 1 Qingdao Youth Island
D