1
16%
Home Win
6.15
X
23%
Draw
4.42
2
61%
Away Win
1.64
xG Home
0.80
xG Away
1.81
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Youth Island an expected 0.8 goals and Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.8 goals. Qingdao Youth Island have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Chengdu Rongcheng at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
0:2
12%
1:1
10.7%
1:2
9.6%
0:0
7.4%
0:3
7.2%
1:0
5.9%
1:3
5.8%
2:1
4.3%
2:2
3.9%
0:4
3.3%
1:4
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Qingdao Youth Island | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 28 | Points | 43 |
| 30% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Qingdao Youth Island at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Qingdao Youth Island
D
W
W
D
Chengdu Rongcheng
D
D
W
W
Head to Head
Chengdu Better City
5 : 1
Qingdao Youth Island
L
Qingdao Youth Island
2 : 2
Chengdu Better City
D
Chengdu Better City
1 : 1
Qingdao Youth Island
D
