1
40%
Home Win
2.51
X
27%
Draw
3.77
2
34%
Away Win
2.97
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Puebla an expected 1.3 goals and Santos Laguna an expected 1.2 goals. Puebla have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Santos Laguna at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
10.4%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
8.5%
0:0
7.7%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
7%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
3.8%
3:0
3.1%
1:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Puebla Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Puebla | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 18 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 18% | Win % | 18% |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.24 |
Venue Form
Puebla at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Santos Laguna Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Puebla
L
Santos Laguna
L
L
L