1
10%
Home Win
9.9
X
19%
Draw
5.17
2
71%
Away Win
1.42
xG Home
0.60
xG Away
2.01
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Puebla an expected 0.6 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 2.0 goals. Puebla have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
14.8%
0:1
14.8%
0:3
9.9%
1:2
8.9%
1:1
8.9%
0:0
7.3%
1:3
6%
0:4
5%
1:0
4.4%
1:4
3%
2:2
2.7%
2:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Puebla | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 2 |
| 13 | Points | 36 |
| 18% | Win % | 65% |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Puebla at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Puebla
L
Guadalajara Chivas
D
L
D
