1
70%
Home Win
1.42
X
16%
Draw
6.23
2
13%
Away Win
7.43
xG Home
2.67
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PSV Eindhoven an expected 2.7 goals and Groningen an expected 1.1 goals. PSV Eindhoven have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Groningen at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9%
2:0
8.1%
3:1
8%
3:0
7.2%
1:1
6.7%
1:0
6.1%
4:1
5.4%
2:2
5%
4:0
4.8%
3:2
4.5%
1:2
3.8%
4:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| PSV Eindhoven | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 9 |
| 84 | Points | 48 |
| 79% | Win % | 41% |
| 2.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
PSV Eindhoven at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Groningen Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven
W
W
Groningen
L
L
