1
82%
Home Win
1.21
X
9%
Draw
10.59
2
7%
Away Win
14.99
xG Home
3.74
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
85%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PSV Eindhoven an expected 3.7 goals and Fortuna Sittard an expected 1.1 goals. PSV Eindhoven have a 82% win probability, draw stands at 9%, and Fortuna Sittard at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
7.6%
4:1
7.1%
3:0
6.8%
4:0
6.4%
2:1
6.1%
2:0
5.5%
3:2
4.2%
4:2
3.9%
2:2
3.4%
1:1
3.2%
1:0
2.9%
1:2
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 82% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.22 |
| Market Odds | 1.3 |
Team Comparison
| PSV Eindhoven | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 11 |
| 84 | Points | 39 |
| 79% | Win % | 32% |
| 2.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
PSV Eindhoven at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Fortuna Sittard Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven
W
W
Fortuna Sittard
L
L
