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Preston vs Southampton — Prediction

Preston Preston
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Southampton Southampton

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Preston
  • Preston 2–3 Sheffield United
  • Stoke City 2–0 Preston
  • Preston 1–1 West Brom
  • Wrexham 4–1 Preston
  • Birmingham 4–0 Preston
Southampton
  • West Brom 1–1 Southampton
  • Southampton 4–1 QPR
  • West Ham 2–3 Southampton
  • Southampton 0–0 Bolton
  • Norwich City 0–1 Southampton
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Preston 46 · Southampton 46. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Southampton 44% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.21
Model goal expectation · 2 1.71
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 57%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Preston 1.21 · Southampton 1.71.
1 27% · X 24% · 2 49%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.2%
1:2 9.5%
0:1 9.3%
0:2 7.9%
2:1 6.7%
1:0 6.5%
2:2 5.8%
1:3 5.4%
0:0 5.4%
0:3 4.5%
2:0 3.9%
2:3 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Southampton Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04

Team Comparison

Preston Southampton
14 League Position 4
60 Points 80
33% Win % 48%
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

Preston at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Southampton Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Preston
L L D L L
Southampton
D W W D W

Head to Head

02 May 2026 championship
Preston 0 : 1 Southampton
L

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Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.