1
38%
Home Win
2.67
X
27%
Draw
3.71
2
35%
Away Win
2.82
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Preston an expected 1.3 goals and Bristol City an expected 1.2 goals. Preston have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Bristol City at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
10.4%
0:1
10.1%
0:0
8.2%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
7.9%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
5%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
3.2%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Preston Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Preston | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 12 |
| 60 | Points | 62 |
| 33% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Preston at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Bristol City Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Preston
L
L
L
Bristol City
L
D
