Preston vs Blackburn Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.21
xG Away 0.87
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 41%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Preston an expected 1.2 goals and Blackburn an expected 0.9 goals. Preston have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Blackburn at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.1%
1:1 13.2%
0:0 12.5%
0:1 10.9%
2:0 9.1%
2:1 7.9%
1:2 5.8%
0:2 4.8%
3:0 3.7%
2:2 3.5%
3:1 3.2%
1:3 1.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Preston Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Preston Blackburn
14 League Position 20
60 Points 52
33% Win % 28%
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

Preston at Home
W1 D1 L4 (6 games)
17% win rate
Blackburn Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Preston
D L W L L
Blackburn
D L W