1
44%
Home Win
2.29
X
30%
Draw
3.38
2
27%
Away Win
3.74
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Preston an expected 1.2 goals and Blackburn an expected 0.9 goals. Preston have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Blackburn at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.1%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
12.5%
0:1
10.9%
2:0
9.1%
2:1
7.9%
1:2
5.8%
0:2
4.8%
3:0
3.7%
2:2
3.5%
3:1
3.2%
1:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Preston Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Preston | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 20 |
| 60 | Points | 52 |
| 33% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Preston at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Blackburn Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Preston
L
L
L
Blackburn
W
