1
46%
Home Win
2.15
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
30%
Away Win
3.35
xG Home
1.70
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.7 goals and Motor Lublin an expected 1.3 goals. Pogoń Szczecin have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Motor Lublin at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.3%
1:0
8.3%
1:2
7.2%
2:0
7.1%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
6.1%
3:1
5.3%
0:0
4.9%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
4%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pogoń Szczecin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Pogoń Szczecin | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 12 |
| 45 | Points | 43 |
| 38% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Pogoń Szczecin at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Motor Lublin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Pogoń Szczecin
L
W
L
W
Motor Lublin
D
W
L
